Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 46.231277 52.041177 58.099064 64.869767 72.208659 79.906108 88.572770
2024-11-03 38.017242 46.628343 56.159714 67.414222 80.260410 94.387946 111.018807
2024-11-10 33.039413 43.049404 54.596511 68.741644 85.437863 104.356236 127.244844
2024-11-17 28.642638 39.431726 52.346989 68.684466 88.528654 111.583089 140.110298
2024-11-24 26.418896 38.092510 52.502457 71.212196 94.462143 122.007337 156.688386
2024-12-01 23.454339 35.455212 50.735518 71.094034 96.960768 128.187155 168.155249
2024-12-08 20.633113 32.696753 48.533264 70.165729 98.237367 132.727559 177.551430
2024-12-15 18.566611 30.745598 47.189902 70.165507 100.546384 138.456939 188.384660
2024-12-22 16.769532 28.990811 45.947291 70.152324 102.728303 143.965998 198.941524
2024-12-29 16.053719 28.729835 46.702001 72.791867 108.387145 153.945762 215.247248
2025-01-05 14.868063 27.650140 46.209007 73.646639 111.633290 160.825470 227.667391
2025-01-12 13.723953 26.526415 45.559776 74.206502 114.434227 167.117828 239.375262
2025-01-19 11.986492 24.332115 43.239468 72.332277 113.900631 169.085221 245.625131
2025-01-26 11.574584 24.277602 44.117463 75.087225 119.833668 179.754837 263.455930
2025-02-02 10.887543 23.689067 44.122383 76.525210 123.912750 187.967022 278.124711
2025-02-09 9.928790 22.535968 43.164748 76.463236 125.822529 193.235759 288.917988
2025-02-16 9.643854 22.557289 44.059635 79.199285 131.774756 204.090754 307.317693
2025-02-23 8.808541 21.488515 43.119375 79.071428 133.545932 209.192561 318.001408
2025-03-02 7.888691 20.164031 41.667645 78.066820 133.968565 212.387241 326.095296
2025-03-09 7.229564 19.277386 40.889510 78.066579 135.840386 217.599715 336.977366
2025-03-16 6.625556 18.437221 40.133559 78.052311 137.660462 222.735956 347.788991
2025-03-23 6.510964 18.603285 41.139942 80.908138 143.858008 234.161450 367.429343
2025-03-30 6.114944 18.129897 40.977983 81.832502 147.116267 241.417717 381.338981